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Phillips Curve and Lessons from SVB
Indonesia has little exposure to SVB. Nevertheless, vigilance must still be increased by continuing to pay close attention to various domestic and foreign micro-banking and macroeconomic indicators.
English
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Resilience as Capital to Face Uncertainty
Global uncertainty can trigger economic recession that can disrupt Indonesia's economic growth targets in 2023. However, Indonesia is considered to have resilience, as reflected in its 2022 performance.
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World Recession 2023: How Severe?
The outlook for the world economy in 2023 is not as bad as many people think. Coupled with China's economy, which has begun to relax, a world economic recession can even be avoided.
English
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Conservative Outlook of Economic Growth
The hope is for a world recession, if it happens, to grow slowly rather than a sharp contraction. Perhaps inflation will remain above the normal average.
English
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High Inflation, Temporary or Permanent?
As long as the government is able to realize its commitment to an open economy, I am sure that inflation expectations of economic players in Indonesia will fall and be low.
English
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Indonesian Economy Shines in the Dark
We must not let our guard down or feel complacent. The government, together with the monetary authorities, need to prepare a contingency plan if the threat of global uncertainty hits Indonesia.
English
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Indonesia: Navigating a Difficult Global Economy
What is going on in the global economy, and how can Indonesia prosper in such a difficult environment?
English
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Make Sure Not to be Late
Hopefully, the country’s third-quarter growth of 5.72 percent will have a positive impact on employment. Whatever the problems affecting the fate of the workforce must be observed and anticipated well.
English
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IMF and Adaptive and Balanced Policy
This is in contrast to the orthodoxy of the US Fed, which is trying to restore its credibility as a monetary authority as it continues to raise its benchmark interest rate several more times in 2022 and 2023.
English
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Optimism Overshadowed by Recession
Indonesia enjoyed a commodity windfall from the high prices of palm oil and mining products. Our trade balance has been positive for the last two years to result in a surplus in the state budget.
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